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« January 03, 2008 | Main | January 06, 2008 »

January 05, 2008

Autopsy of a Fraud

[Dadmanly]

Neil Munro and Carl Cannon undertook an autopsy of the highly-suspect 2006 study by British medical journal The Lancet, purporting to estimate "excess" Iraqi deaths after the 2003 invasion at 654,965.

Munro and Cannon publish the results of their autopsy in National Journal. In brutal summary, based on their analysis, the state of the “science” behind the Study has only further decomposed since its publication. Yet somehow, this will be the rotting corpse of the Iraqi debate, the stench of which mainstream media (MSM) won’t notice.

I criticized the study when it was first released in October 2006, highlighting my objections at MILBLOGS, as did my fellow MILBLOGGERS Soldier's Dad and Steve Schippert.

Munro and Cannon are painstaking in their dissection of the many flaws in the study, as well as what amounts to the rather obvious the circumstantial evidence that the Study was intended as an assault on US electoral politics:

Three weeks before the 2006 midterm elections gave Democrats control of Congress, a shocking study reported on the number of Iraqis who had died in the ongoing war. It bolstered criticism of President Bush and heightened the waves of dread -- here and around the world -- about the U.S. occupation of Iraq.

Published by The Lancet, a venerable British medical journal, the study [PDF] used previously accepted methods for calculating death rates to estimate the number of "excess" Iraqi deaths after the 2003 invasion at 426,369 to 793,663; the study said the most likely figure was near the middle of that range: 654,965. Almost 92 percent of the dead, the study asserted, were killed by bullets, bombs, or U.S. air strikes. This stunning toll was more than 10 times the number of deaths estimated by the Iraqi or U.S. governments, or by any human-rights group.

In December 2005, Bush had used a figure of 30,000 civilian deaths in Iraq. Iraq's health ministry calculated that, based on death certificates, 50,000 Iraqis had died in the war through June 2006. A cautiously compiled database of media reports by a London-based anti-war group called Iraq Body Count confirmed at least 45,000 war dead during the same time period. These were all horrific numbers -- but the death count in The Lancet's study differed by an order of magnitude.

Queried in the Rose Garden on October 11, the day the Lancet article came out, Bush dismissed it. "I don't consider it a credible report," he replied. The Pentagon and top British government officials also rejected the study's findings.

Such skepticism would not prove to be the rule.

That’s an understatement, not as it applied to the MSM, and Munro and Cannon provide several examples.


Posted at 2211Z | Comments (2)

Sometimes, the truth gets you fired

[CDR Salamander]

This should provide some insight why the full story does not get told to senior policy makers.

Mr. Coughlin wrote a memorandum several months ago based on documents made public in a federal trial in Dallas that revealed a covert plan by the Muslim Brotherhood, an Egyptian-origin Islamist extremist group, to subvert the United States using front groups. Members of one of the identified front groups, the Islamic Society of North America, has been hosted by Mr. England at the Pentagon.
Remember how important it is, as we were told 1,001 times in the last half-decade+, to connect the dots? Well, to some, there are more important things than truth. You'll figure it out.


Posted at 1935Z

Major Olmsted, USA, and CPT Casey, USA, KIA

[Chap]

I was waiting for the official announcement, although it's all over the Net. Killed in Diyala in an ambush.

DoD Identifies Army Casualties

The Department of Defense announced today the death of two soldiers who were supporting Operation Iraqi Freedom. They died Jan. 3 in As Sadiyah, Iraq, of wounds suffered when insurgents attacked their unit using small arms fire during combat operations. Both Soldiers were assigned to the Military Transition Team, 1st Brigade, 1st Infantry Division, Fort Riley, Kan.

Killed were:

Maj. Andrew J. Olmsted, 37, of Colorado Springs, Colo.

Cpt. Thomas J. Casey, 32, of Albuquerque, N.M.


MAJ Olmsted was a blogger, and a good one. He did something smart--left a "just in case" post. That post is at Obsidian Wings and his old site. He also wrote for the Rocky Mountain News. CPT Casey's death was apparently formally reported in less than a perfect manner; I feel bad that the family had to go through more difficulty because of a mistake.

Both men were doing a difficult job well. Both men were victim to the cruel arbitrary nature of war; all the risk management and hardening won't protect you when it's your turn. I wish they had come home alive and well; I hope their families can heal, given enough time.

(crossposted)


Posted at 0041Z

« January 03, 2008 | Main | January 06, 2008 »