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The Mudville Gazette is written and produced by Greyhawk, the call sign of a real military guy currently serving somewhere in Iraq. Unless otherwise credited, the opinions expressed are those of the author, and nothing here is to be taken as representing the official position of or endorsement by the United States Department of Defense or any of its subordinate components. Furthermore, I will occasionally use satire or parody herein. The bottom line: it's my house.

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« Get ye to the Castle | Main | More COIN on CNN »

November 19, 2008

Change found in SOFA

Greyhawk

The candidate on the SOFA (while it lasts...):

"Obama and Biden believe any Status of Forces Agreement, or any strategic framework agreement, should be negotiated in the context of a broader commitment by the U.S. to begin withdrawing its troops and forswearing permanent bases. Obama and Biden also believe that any security accord must be subject to Congressional approval. It is unacceptable that the Iraqi government will present the agreement to the Iraqi parliament for approval—yet the Bush administration will not do the same with the U.S. Congress."
(FWIW, me on that on November 7: "This... might not be so important any more, though a pro forma submission might be "doable".")

The President-elect on the SOFA:

Obama and Biden believe it is vital that a Status of Forces Agreement (SOFA) be reached so our troops have the legal protections and immunities they need. Any SOFA should be subject to Congressional review to ensure it has bipartisan support here at home.

Sounds like someone reviewed the SOFA.

That's probably not as dramatic a change as the mid-July switch (see here and here) on troop withdrawal.

The candidate for the Democratic nomination pledged*: "Obama will immediately begin to remove our troops from Iraq. He will remove one to two combat brigades each month, and have all of our combat brigades out of Iraq within 16 months."

The candidate for president purged that line from his web site, and replaced it with: "The removal of our troops will be responsible and phased, directed by military commanders on the ground and done in consultation with the Iraqi government. Military experts believe we can safely redeploy combat brigades from Iraq at a pace of 1 to 2 brigades a month -- which would remove all of them in 16 months."

Or whatever the SOFA calls for. And then they go to Afghanistan.

Some supporters might still be surprised to learn about that July switch, though. Here's an August 12 "fact check" that erroneously insists "His [Obama's] campaign Web site says: "Obama will immediately begin to remove our troops from Iraq. He will remove one to two combat brigades each month, and have all of our combat brigades out of Iraq within 16 months."" And here's an about.com explanation of why Obama won the Presidency that claims "Obama's stance on the Iraq War is unambiguous: he plans to immediately begin to remove our troops from Iraq. He will remove one to two combat brigades each month, and have all of our combat brigades out of Iraq within 16 months."

At least one thing hasn't changed, however, candidate Obama's pledge to keep "a residual force in Iraq" of unspecified size for an indeterminate amount of time beyond his 16-month timeframe remains intact (although their mission description - and presumably numbers - continues to grow) on President-elect Obama's web site. Most reports on the SOFA (reports I view with some skepticism) indicate all troops are to be withdrawn. So those who voted for him based purely on nit-picky interpretation of his Iraq plan still have some hope that at least part of it won't change.

And perhaps, by the end of President Obama's first term, most of the American servicemen and women who have sacrificed terribly might be home from Iraq - a functioning democracy, even if still suffering from the lingering effects of decades of tyranny and centuries of sectarian tension. If the United States maintains a military presence there, it will at least be much smaller and won't play a direct combat role.

If so, John McCain's plan for Iraq will have succeeded.


*****

Some previous entries on this topic

Recent entries on the SOFA

*****

Footnote:
*That's from the Feb '08 Internet Archive - the newest existing. Here's a July '08 Google cache.

Posted by Greyhawk at 12:28 AM | Permalink | Comments (5) |