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The Washington Post:
An overwhelming majority of Iraqis continue to say they intend to vote on Jan. 30 even as insurgents press attacks aimed at rendering the elections a failure, according to a new public opinion survey. The poll, conducted in late December and early January for the International Republican Institute, found 80 percent of respondents saying they were likely to vote, a rate that has held roughly steady for months.
"Despite the efforts of the terrorists, Iraqis remain committed to casting their vote on election day," IRI President Lorne Craner said in a statement. The organization, which is funded by Congress through the National Endowment for Democracy and the U.S. Agency for International Development, commissioned the poll, which surveyed 1,900 Iraqis in all but two of the country's 18 provinces. Poor security made two in the far north, Nineveh and Dohuk, inaccessible. The margin of error was plus or minus 3 percentage points.
Which is wonderful, but says nothing as to what the results might be. The upcoming Iraqi elections are beyond any doubt the most unpredictable such an event in the history of mankind, and there's a palpable sense of the unknown in the air here as the appointed day approaches. Most of us realize that regardless of who is in power here in a very few weeks the US position will be fundamentally changed. How? We don't know. Will they demand our exit? Probably not - but we don't know. An amazing position for the US to be in; supporting free elections in a country, the result of which might not necessarily be favorable.
Why, I thought that self evident, based on their history. they'll deny the legitimacy of the election, the same way they tried to with Mr. Bush.
Sad, but likely.
Good banner to celebrate the inauguration, btw! Although I liked the candles :-)
When I was active in local party politics, voter turnout was usually around 30%-40% of the population eligible to vote, sometimes lower. I have no doubt the turnout in Iraq is going to be at least twice that. And it will be your victory as well as theirs, Greyhawk.Posted by Salt Lick at January 21, 2005 08:47 PM
Apparently the only elections these shmoos recognize are those in which (1) their candidates win, no matter how corruptly (e.g. the State of Washington governorship race); (2) are somehow connected to a Democrat in the White House ( like the flawed recent election in Kosovo); or (3) in which an anti-American personage is elected, no matter how flawed the system.
But it is absolutely wonderful that no one knows how the Iraqi election will turn out except that it will confirm that the "insurgents" have no legitimate claim to power in Iraq.Posted by EagleSpeak at January 21, 2005 10:38 PM
The MSM/DNC/France have been against the War on Terror for three years. They will call the election a failure no matter what. They already have the boilerplates done just waiting for the results to fill in the blanks. Jusl like Rathergate, no bais here.Posted by Rod Stanton at January 22, 2005 12:12 AM
At least the Post reports that poll. Look at the NY Times story on the same topic today: "As Election Nears, Iraqis Remain Sharply Divided on its Value" The author goes on to guess that the split is 50/50 for/against elections, without once mentioning the poll. With this poll information readily available, to place a front page story with one author's pessimistic, whole-cloth guess as to Iraqi reactions borders on journalistic malpractice.Posted by Rainey at January 24, 2005 12:30 AM Hide Comments | Show/Add Comments in Popup Window(6) | (Note: You must refresh main page to view newly posted comments here)