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April 22, 2011

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Mistakes?

By Greyhawk


Mistakes?... I've made a few.... heh, no, just kidding:

"There are all sorts of day-to-day issues where I say to myself, oh, I didn't say that right, or I didn't explain this clearly enough," Obama said, "or maybe if I had sequenced this plan first as opposed to that one, maybe it would have gotten done quicker."

But the president mentioned no actual mistakes.

Of course he didn't. Why should he? His biggest mistakes don't even get reported as such. I can offer up several on the national security front, but here are just two mistakes that you've seen hints of lately in the news.

The first actually was made in his earliest days in the White House. (But we're paying the price for it now, and will for years to come.) At around the same time he was taking the oath of office, the soldiers of the 5th Stryker Brigade Combat Team were completing preparations for their upcoming Iraq tour:

Like previous Stryker brigades, the 5th Brigade has put dozens of its troops through intensive, 10-month Arabic language training. They were tested in exercises last month where they had to help their commanders negotiate with native-speaker role players at Fort Lewis' urban training center, Leschi Town.

Tunnell has added his own adaptations as well. He sent senior sergeants to intelligence school at Fort Huachuca, Ariz., so that each of his infantry companies could do more analysis work that would typically be done at the battalion level, further up the chain of command.

And to give his companies more know-how when it comes to bargaining with the mukhtars and sheiks they'll encounter in Iraq, he sent senior sergeants for training in the art of negotiation.

All that was soon tossed out the window for this headline: "Barack Obama diverts 17,000 soldiers from Iraq to Afghanistan."

Mr Obama indicated that the units being sent to Afghanistan had been earmarked for Iraq, saying the drawdown of US forces there "allows us the flexibility to increase our presence in Afghanistan".

Which is a great headline for a guy who campaigned on exactly that; at the time it was widely reported and wildly popular. For the 5th SBCT it was a tough break - but also an order you salute smartly and carry on. That would be all well and good, but a few days later came the second part of the deal that didn't get any attention at all.

Gen. Odierno will receive a Stryker Brigade to replace the incoming replacement brigade diverted to Afghanistan just a week ago. That means that he will continue to maintain the current level of two Stryker brigades in Iraq.
That would be the 4th Brigade, 2nd Infantry Division, from the same parent division and the same home base as the 5th.

A Fort Lewis Stryker combat brigade will deploy to Iraq this fall, several months ahead of the original schedule, Army officials said Monday.

When the 4th Brigade, 2nd Infantry Division departs, all three Stryker brigades based at the Army post will be simultaneously deployed to combat for the first time. Each brigade has about 4,000 soldiers.

It's terrible that so many brigades had to deploy, but since they did wouldn't it make more sense to send the 4th to Afghanistan, and the 5th - the one that had trained for Iraq - to Iraq? In fact, wouldn't making that switch be courting disaster? That depends on your goal (and how sure you are of the media's willingness to play along) - if it's to win wars, then yes, it's a mistake to switch them like that. If it's to make Americans think you're drawing down troops in Iraq to send to Afghanistan, then no. And if the media's on your side, you are mistake-proof.

So get 'er done, soldier.

They may not have had enough time to learn the language or prepare properly for Afghanistan, but when confronted with "an absence of good intelligence on what they would be facing in the Arghandab" valley, NCOs in the unit found a way to improvise, adapt and overcome, by "printing out information on the Arghandab region from The Long War Journal, a respected non-Defense Department Web site, and posting it on bulletin boards."

As good as my friend Bill Roggio's site is, I don't think that's its intended purpose. To recap: the 2nd Infantry Division's (2ID) 5th Stryker Brigade Combat Team (5/2 SBCT), a brigade that had trained and prepared for Iraq, was re-routed to Afghanistan - a widely heralded and highly praised move. But also a fraud perpetrated on the American public, because in an "overlooked" story another 2ID brigade (4/2 SBCT) was sent to Iraq in their place.

Hey, what could possibly go wrong?


Both left for their respective tours at approximately the same time from the same place. Let's move forward to revisit the 4th and 5th SBCT in the middle of those tours - at the end of that calendar year :

End of year update: Where are they now?

The 4th Brigade, 2nd Infantry Division is operating in Iraq.

The 5th is in Afghanistan:

...The battalion had spent much of the previous two years training for combat, but preparing for the wrong theater -- until February, when it got orders for Afghanistan, 1-17 was scheduled to deploy to Iraq.

However, 1-17 soldiers said their training, which had been focused on highly "kinetic" urban warfare drills such as room clearing, did not change much to accommodate the change in mission. "The COIN-intensive fight here ... isn't so much what we trained on," said 1st Lt. Kevin Turnblom, Charlie Company's fire support officer.

"We trained [in] urban fighting in Iraq and then they give us Afghanistan," said Staff Sgt. Jason Hughes, Weapons Squad leader in 1st Platoon, Charlie Company. "The principles are the same but the details are day-and-night different, and we've learned that the hard way over the last almost five months."

How bad was it? Read the whole Army Times report here. (And realize it isn't everything there was to tell.) It's a disaster that ends like this:

But the final blow to the company's morale was still to come: the new RC-South commander British Maj. Gen. Nick Carter chose to pull Charlie Company and the rest of 1-17 out of the Arghandab permanently and replace them with elements of the 82nd Airborne Division's 4th Brigade.

If you read the story you realize (regardless of why he said he did it) he had no other choice. That's doubly infuriating because 4/82 had originally been sent to Afghanistan as part of President Obama's initial surge specifically for the mission of training Afghan troops - something that would allow the draw down (now scheduled to "begin in July 2011") there, too.

But while the Times story ended, 5/2's Afghan tour didn't. So, did all those early failures contribute to further morale and discipline problems in 5/2, or did they hold their heads up, recover, and soldier on? No doubt most of the brigade's soldiers did the latter to the best of their abilities, but - get ready for another shocker here - by early 2010 other members of the brigade had formed the now-legendary "Kill Team" you my have read about elsewhere recently.

The story is actually a year old...

The military issued a brief statement last week saying a criminal probe was under way into the allegations of killing, illegal drug use, assault and conspiracy. One military official familiar with the details of the case told CNN the matter was brought to the attention of commanders by at least one other soldier. The killings of the three civilians did not take place in one single incident, the official said.
<...>
A senior U.S. Army official directly familiar with Stryker operations said the command of the 5-2 has been a concern to the Army for months.

...but it didn't really "catch on" until the actual pictures were obtained this year, by a German news source. (And later in Rolling Stone; speaking of which, another part of the reason that story didn't really "take off" back in June, 2010 was because before the month was over, General McChrystal had resigned after a Rolling Stone magazine article hurt Joe Biden's feewings.) Still, the AP tried to find an angle that would make it a "big" story when first reported back in June:

A U.S. Army soldier who's been charged with murdering three Afghan civilians appears to have crossed paths with the family of former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin....

Wasilla, as Palin frequently pointed out during the 2008 election campaign, is a very small community, so it's not surprising that the Palin family would have developed relationships, however incidental, with one of its residents. According to a 2009 People magazine profile of Bristol Palin, Jeremy Morlock's sister April is a friend of Bristol's and attended a "pizza and bingo party" at the Palin residence.

...but it still drew little attention outside of local (Ft Lewis area ~ Seattle) coverage. That coverage included the official army explanation:

"His unit has done an admirable job in Afghanistan. They've been an important part of the fight there, and I don't think we can transfer this soldier's actions as a reflection. In the general population, a certain part of it is criminal. That happens in the Army sometimes, too," Parker said.

But Parker said the Army is a "learning organization" that would, if necessary, make changes to its screening of soldiers sent to combat zones.

Partial truth, at least. But while colonels can bust privates, and generals can bust colonels, and the AP can assault Sarah Palin (relentlessly), none of them (except news reporters) can bust the Commander in Chief; they're not going to tell you the whole thing started with a quest for a fraudulent headline: Barack Obama diverts 17,000 soldiers from Iraq to Afghanistan.

Speaking of which, let's turn back to the 4th SBCT - the unit he sent to Iraq. While those soldiers had to sacrifice time at home in order to deploy ahead of their previous schedule, that hurry-up also meant they couldn't complete the training then given to all Brigade Combat Teams heading for Iraq so that they could be called "Advise and Assist Brigades" - which is what makes "non-combat" brigade combat teams "non-combat." So they deployed as a "combat brigade."

Guess who made lemonade out of that. By the end of the summer of 2010 their combat tour was coming to an end - and what an end it would be:

No doubt there's something else on TV now - but last week I caught a bit of the coverage of "the last American combat brigade leaving Iraq." I wonder if this marks the series finale for this particular program - one that's only been broadcast sporadically since 2007 anyway.

Here's a very brief clip:


The Pentagon is letting NBC make the announcement for them... I'm not sure if that line of dialog adds or subtracts to the degree of realism they've been able to inject in this program...

...the White House wants to find a way to mark the moment and remind voters just two months before midterm elections that he delivered on his vow to pull out combat forces. Mr. Obama plans to make a high-profile speech on the drawdown next week, and aides are discussing whether to have him meet with returning troops. Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. will address the Veterans of Foreign Wars in Indianapolis on Monday.

Following his speech on the topic earlier this month the New York Times reported that "Mr. Obama has adopted Iraq as a relative success story, and aides said he and other administration officials would hold several events in August to honor returning soldiers and promote the drawdown." More:
The notion that Iraq would be the political selling point while the "good war" in Afghanistan is now the sour note underscores how much has changed since Mr. Obama began his presidential campaign.

Well, "change" was a campaign pledge too, wasn't it? In reality, the Iraq drawdown was continuing as scheduled during the Bush administration. But yep - since they didn't get their "advise and assist training" the 4th Strykers got to play the part of "the last COMBAT unit to leave Iraq" on TV. And since NBC got the official "ride-along" even Rachel Maddow made the trip ("I'm totally covered in goose bumps," she declared. "It is an important moment.") to cover the historic moment when Barack Obama once again "made good" on his campaign pledge to withdraw troops from Iraq - using as a prop the unit that, if the original story of Obama drawing down troops in Iraq had been true, would not have been there in the first place.

Fortunately, the brigade completed its combat tour without any combat deaths. Unfortunately, on the very day they had handed over their last combat outpost to the Iraqi army (but less widely reported), Spc. Faith R. Hinkley, also from Ft Lewis but serving in one of the non-combat brigades, was killed in combat elsewhere in Iraq.

So - there you have it. "There are all sorts of day-to-day issues where I say to myself, oh, I didn't say that right, or I didn't explain this clearly enough," Obama said, "or maybe if I had sequenced this plan first as opposed to that one, maybe it would have gotten done quicker." So yeah, lots of little things. As for the big things, well, if you never see 'em on TV, they really aren't "mistakes" at all, are they?

But that's rather a dramatic change to make without explanation, don't you think? The original version indicates the entire narrative of diverting troops from Iraq to Afghanistan is a fraud perpetrated on the American public. The later version is hardly newsworthy.

Aren't corrections of that magnitude worthy of an appended explanation?

It's been a week since that was sent and I've received no reply.

And I still haven't.

Meanwhile, in more recent news: "Senior U.S. and Iraqi military officials have been in negotiations about keeping some 10,000 American troops in Iraq beyond the scheduled withdrawal of all U.S. forces at year's end..." but the Iraqis are worried we'll turn their country into another Libya. But maybe Obama will eventually change Bush's withdrawal timeline after all.

But I promised "two mistakes that you've seen hints of lately in the news," and that's just one (even if just one of many ways we've tried to lose that war) - though it's a big one. The second is, too, but it's about a more recent war - and this has gone on long enough, so that little story will have to come a little later. (Assuming the world doesn't blow up before then.)

Until then, here's a question to ponder while you enjoy your universal health care, America: what mistakes have you made lately?



Posted by Greyhawk / April 22, 2011 8:52 AM | Permalink

4 TrackBacks

Crazy Talk from Mudville Gazette on April 23, 2011 12:22 PM

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The War of Words from Mudville Gazette on April 26, 2011 2:53 PM

The end of April, 2006 - five years ago in Iraq - US Army Captain Dan Sukman was asked if he thought the country was in a civil war:I have chosen to reserve judgment for the next 150 years. If in 150 years I return to Iraq and everyone in Baghdad is dr... Read More

Clear as blood from Mudville Gazette on June 10, 2011 11:57 AM

"...since he saw that his army was by this time cumbered with much booty and hard to move, at break of day, after the baggage-wagons had been loaded, he burned first those which belonged to himself and his companions, and then gave orders to set fire ... Read More

Info (more) graphic from Mudville Gazette on June 27, 2011 8:13 AM

When I first saw this little graph over at Think Progress I thought it did a pretty fair job of depicting the reality of President Obama's planned troop draw down in Afghanistan. Of course, that little drawdown is supposed to be completed before the 20... Read More

9 Comments

Another great post. You're getting really hard to read, though--hard on the heart.

May God forgive us all for the callous disregard with which we play with peoples lives. Obama is not ignorant of his actions, he simply does not care, it seems to me. He loves to inflict chaos on any given situation, regardless of the cost. You brought me to tears. I thank you for informing us and reminding us of the people and the cost. God bless you and yours, and all our men and women in heroic service to this country.

No question this was a mistake, but I'm not sure Obama is personally directing deployments of Stryker brigades. This is like a two-star general level decision.

Also, it's not an "occupation" of the White House. There was an election that was decisive, unlike 2000 and 2004 (or for that matter, 1996, 1992). We hadn't had an election with such a clear plurality since 1988. So, not an "occupation."

Which brigade is definitely a DoD-level decision. Switching a Brigade from Iraq to Afghanistan (and sneaking a replacement for it into Iraq) wasn't. The DoD had nothing to gain from that. But what the president wanted is clear.

McKiernan had specifically requested a Stryker brigade a few months before, so that's why a Stryker Brigade got shafted. (Late Bush-era AP account here from Jan 09.)

You're correct on my use of "occupation," and I was mean spirited in using it. Changed it - for the record:

"The first actually was made in the earliest days of his White House occupation."

Now reads

"The first actually was made in his earliest days in the White House."


Also, it's worth noting and remembering that the 2007 Surge (which I agree was a great idea) was an additional 50,000 troops.

But - that 50,000 included soldiers already IN the country.

So it is reported by the White House as "we're sending 50,000 troops!" but really, they were extending many troops an extra three months, when those units already had redeployment dates.

Mistake? No. But it was a military decision that seemed unpleasant to the soldiers involved, just like this Stryker decision was.

Point is, the White House decides on a policy. The military puts the pieces together.

The entire Iraq surge was accomplished by extending tour lengths, not by adding brigades. That's another one of those "you heard it here first" things.... I always thought I'd catch hell for posting that one but like this it was all in released documents, it just had to be put together. Four years later, and a gazillion books on the surge, and no one else has pointed out that critical bit of information I had in January 2007.

There were a few support troops added to the mix to accommodate the overall larger numbers, but every combat brigade sent to Iraq as part of the surge was already scheduled to go to Iraq. I actually laughed out loud when I figured the whole thing out.

Funny thing about that - Bush took a double PR gut punch on it: the first when announcing the "additional brigades" and the second a few weeks later when announcing the tour extensions. I have no idea why he didn't just put the whole thing out there in the first place, other than "5 additional brigades" might have more impact on perception (pro, con, enemy and ally) than "we're extending tour lengths by 25%"

Bin Laden's assassination couldn't have come at a better time for presidential re-elections. Is it a coincidence? Not in my opinion. We've known about Osama's compound since 2006. Makes me think Mr Obama was holding this in his hip pocket for an opportune time.

Brian Goodwin

Seems to me the last week of October 2012 would be much better timing wrt presidential elections.

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November 26, 2010


America@war
[Greyhawk]
I think anyone who's ever pondered the "comment" option - once only available on blogs and bulletin boards, now ubiquitous on almost any web site - will appreciate this:
The so-called faculty of writing is not so much a faculty of writing as it is a faculty of thinking. When a man says, "I have an idea but I can't express it"; that man hasn't an idea but merely a vague feeling. If a man has a feeling of that kind, and will sit down for a half an hour and persistently try to put into writing what he feels, the probabilities are at least 90 percent that he will either be able to record it, or else realize that he has no idea at all. In either case, he will do himself a benefit.

That's wisdom from the past, captured for posterity at the US Naval Institute, shared via the web on the institute's 137th anniversary.

From their about page:

The Naval Institute shall remain

INDEPENDENT - A non-profit member association, with no government support, that does not lobby for special interests;

NON-PARTISAN - An independent, professional military association with a mission, goals and objectives that transcend political affiliations; and shall encourage

IDEAS - Through its respected journals Proceedings and Naval History, its conferences, its books and its online content, in support of those who serve.

"The Naval Institute has three core activities," among them, History and Preservation:

The Naval Institute also has recently introduced Americans at War, a living history of Americans at war in their own words and from their own experiences. These 90-second vignettes convey powerful stories of inspiration, pride, and patriotism.

Take a look at the collection, and you'll see it's not limited to accounts from those who served on ships at sea, members of the other branches are well-represented.

I'm fortunate to have met USNI's Mary Ripley, she's responsible for the institute's oral history program (and she's the daughter of the late John Ripley, whose story is told here). She also deserves much credit for their blog. ("We're not the Navy nor any government agency. Blog and comment freely.") We met at a milblog conference - Mary knew (and I would come to realize) that milbloggers are the 21st-century version of exactly what the US Naval Institute is all about. Once that light bulb came on in my head, I mentioned a vague idea for a project to her - milblogs as the 21st century oral history that they are.

"Put that in writing," she said (of course - see first paragraph above!) - and here's part of the result.

Shortly after the first tent was pitched by the American military in Iraq a wire was connected to a computer therein, and the internet was available to a generation of Americans at war - many of whom had grown up online. From that point on, at any given moment, somewhere in Iraq a Soldier, Sailor, Airman or Marine was at a keyboard sharing the events of his or her day with the folks back home. While most would simply fire off an email, others took advantage of the (then) relatively new online blogging platforms to post their thoughts and experiences for the entire world to see. The milblog was born - and from that moment to this stories detailing everything from the most mundane aspects of camp life to intense combat action (often described within hours of the event) have been available on the web...

And et cetera - but since you're reading this on a milblog, you probably knew that. And you know that milblogs aren't just blogs written by troops at war, that many friends, family members, and supporters likewise documented their story of America at war online in near-real time, as those stories developed.

The diversity in membership of that group is broad, the one thing we all have in common is the impulse to make sense of the seemingly senseless, and communicate the tale - for each of us that impulse was strong enough to overcome whatever barriers prevent the vast majority of people from doing the same. Everyone at some point has some vague idea they believe should be shared - we were the people who, from some combination of internal and external urging, found and spent those many half hours persistently trying to write it down.

*****

But where will all that be in another 137 years? Or five or ten, for that matter. That's something I've asked myself since at least 2004 - when I wrote this:

Closing Blogs is nothing new. So many site's owners just give up on their own. They come and go, you know, these MilBloggers do. Like any other sort of blogger. Many post in the lonely down hours far from home, spill their guts for the world, then abandon their spots when the tour of duty is up. They have lives again somewhere in the world, and no need to share the details. So it goes.

Many are truly gone - no site left at all. "The page cannot be found." Other blogs remain, like abandoned defensive positions in shifting desert sands.

Membership in the ghost battalion has grown in the years since, and an ever growing majority of those abandoned-but-still-standing sites are vanishing. Have you checked out Lt Smash's site lately? How about Sgt Hook's? If you're a long-time milblog reader you know the first widely-read milblog from Operation Iraq Freedom and the first widely-read milblog from Afghanistan are both gone from the web. If you're a relative newcomer to this world you may never even have heard of them - or the dozens upon dozens of others who carried forth the standard they set down.

If you have a vague notion that something should be done about that, (a notion I've heard expressed more than once...) then you and I and the good folks at the US Naval Institute are in agreement. Preserving the history documented by the milbloggers is just one of the goals of the milblog project, the once-vague idea that we're now making real.

And it's a big idea, if I say so myself - too big to explain in one simple blog post, so stand by for more. Likewise, it's too big a task to be accomplished by just one person. So if you're a milblogger (and exactly what is a milblogger? is a topic for much further discussion on its own) I'm asking for your help. All I'll really need is just a little bit (maybe just one or two of those half hours...) of your time, and your willingness to tell the tale.

We've already made history, it's time to save it.

(More to follow...)




Posted 4:02 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) |

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The Mudville Gazette is the on-line voice of an American warrior and his wife who stands by him. They prefer to see peaceful change render force of arms unnecessary. Until that day they stand fast with those who struggle for freedom, strike for reason, and pray for a better tomorrow.
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  • Greyhawk: Seems to me the last week of October 2012 would read more
  • military boots: Bin Laden's assassination couldn't have come at a better time read more
  • Greyhawk: Funny thing about that - Bush took a double PR read more
  • Greyhawk: Which brigade is definitely a DoD-level decision. Switching a Brigade read more
  • Greyhawk: The entire Iraq surge was accomplished by extending tour lengths, read more
  • NS Webster: Also, it's worth noting and remembering that the 2007 Surge read more
  • NS Webster: No question this was a mistake, but I'm not sure read more
  • Patricia Pledger: May God forgive us all for the callous disregard with read more
  • FbL: Another great post. You're getting really hard to read, though--hard read more

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The Mudville Gazette is written and produced by Greyhawk, who recently retired from 24 years of active duty in the US military, but will maintain this disclaimer: Unless otherwise credited, the opinions expressed are those of the author, and nothing here is to be taken as representing the official position of or endorsement by the United States Department of Defense or any of its subordinate components.

Furthermore, I will occasionally use satire or parody herein. The bottom line: it's my house.

I like having visitors to my house. I hope you are entertained. I fight for your right to free speech, and am thrilled when you exercise said rights here. Comments and e-mails are welcome, but all such communication is to be assumed to be 1)the original work of any who initiate said communication and 2)the property of the Mudville Gazette, with free use granted thereto for publication in electronic or written form. If you do NOT wish to have your message posted, write "CONFIDENTIAL" in the subject line of your email.

Original content copyright © 2003 - 2011 by Greyhawk. Fair, not-for-profit use of said material by others is encouraged, as long as acknowledgement and credit is given, to include the url of the original source post. Other arrangements can be made as needed.

Contact: greyhawk at mudvillegazette dot com

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*****

Tending Distant
Fires


Far from hearth and home, watching
Cold alone but not alone
On distant shore and only wanting
Safe return and little more

What tales we'll tell
When that time comes
When tales can be told

When things grim
Seem far away
When other fires go cold

Some distant sunset, vision fading
Memories remain
And tired eyes gaze 'pon folded flags
While distant drums beat their refrain

Saluting fallen friends whose names
And youth will never fade
Here's to those on other shores,
for them live well, the price is paid

- Greyhawk,
Baghdad,
December 2004