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June 24, 2010

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Last Man Standing

By Greyhawk

Or: "Look on my works, ye mighty, and despair!"

Michael Hastings, from Afghanistan, in Rolling Stone: "Petraeus makes sense. He's considered the hero of Iraq, and he has the public's trust. He won't be caught dead calling the offensive in Marja a "bleeding ulcer," as McChrystal did. His appointment neutralizes him as a potential (though highly unlikely) political rival for 2012. He literally wrote the book on counterinsurgency, drafting the Army field manual on the U.S. strategy that is being pursued in Afghanistan." I agree with that. And no, it's not from his Runaway General story. (And yes, he's still embedded with US troops.)

Bing West (via SWJ): Gen. David Petraeus' 3 keys to victory: How to win in Afghanistan after Gen. Stanley McChrystal. I'm not sure General Petraeus has those "keys" - but I am sure he's confronted with locked doors.

Read the whole thing - but here's the key graf:

Ultimately, whether the mission succeeds or fails will rest upon the relationship Petraeus establishes with Obama, who has been standoffish about the war. The President has to become more involved; he has to act as the commander in chief who is determined to prevail, as President George W. Bush was in Iraq. Petraeus will be a great asset to the President. But in the end, it is Obama's war, and so far, no one knows how committed he is.

Meanwhile, at the New York Times: "Obama Says Afghan Policy Won't Change After Dismissal"...

In a typical response from other military officials, one Army officer with multiple tours in Afghanistan expressed anger at the lack of discipline displayed by General McChrystal and his inner circle. But he warned that it was symptomatic of wider problems with Mr. Obama's strategy and among his national security advisers.

"They brought this upon themselves and embarrassed the entire military as an institution," said the officer, who spoke on condition of anonymity to avoid any punishment for criticizing his chain of command.

"Hopefully, the president uses this as an opportunity to refine his policy and objectives, and also to shuffle the rest of his Af-Pak team, as well," he said, using the abbreviation for the Afghanistan-Pakistan region. "McChrystal isn't the only one who probably needs to move elsewhere."

There's one lesson among many in the events of the past few days - "the officer, who spoke on condition of anonymity" gets to continue his career. Whether they accomplish anything worthwhile seems less certain, perhaps the two are mutually exclusive ends. This isn't the first example of that.

The problem area with the Obama strategy isn't counterinsurgency (it's still the best way to counter an insurgency), ROEs, or the other two keys suggested by West. Those are indeed problems to solve on the lower levels, but there will be no solution to any of them until this presidential-level issue is resolved:

The United States must overcome the 'trust deficit' it faces in Afghanistan and Pakistan, where many believe that we are not a reliable long-term partner... The United States must look for a way out of the war in Afghanistan. There's got to be an exit strategy.

The latter half of that was designed to appeal to Democrat voters in America - but they've been less impressed with that message than others elsewhere have been. Some might have thought I was joking when I first pointed out the problem with that approach last March: "Why must Americans be forced to choose sides, as those who've decided to support President Obama will soon be forced to confront those who are equally determined to support President Obama instead?" I was deadly serious, as I was in posing a different version of the same question last December: "Why must Americans be forced to choose sides, as those who've decided to oppose President Obama will soon be forced to confront those who are equally determined to oppose President Obama instead?"

General McChrystal's ultimate "mistake" may have been to be the last man standing to have bought into that commitment/important angle. With the Taliban, Karzai, the government and people of Afghanistan and Pakistan, most of the US State Department, and an increasingly large number of US troops of all ranks ("Patrol only in areas that you are reasonably certain that you will not have to defend yourselves with lethal force...") lining up solidly along the president's exit ramp his position was increasingly untenable.

I know there's no one more qualified than General Petraeus to unlock the many doors his predecessor tried to kick down, and I certainly wish him well. And I know "success" in Afghanistan is possible. But until that over-arching problem is resolved (and three years is too long to wait), those who debate or argue over who's in charge, rules of engagement, the appropriate use of FM 3-24, or a host of other issues critical to effectively conducting war in the Central Front of What We Used to Call the War on Terror might as well be arguing over proper flower arrangements in the Kandahar Airfield Burger King.

*****

Previously:

Mar 28 2009: The Plan Unveiled (III)

Jul 13 2009: The (unpaved) road from hard to hopeless

Sep 27 2009: Moving parts (2): in the Wiggle Room

Oct 12, 2009: The other side of the mountain (part one)

Nov 13, 2009: Hey Rube!

Dec 3, 2009: FIFY

Dec 17, 2009: Business as Usual


Posted by Greyhawk / June 24, 2010 9:29 AM | Permalink

5 TrackBacks

Last Man Standing... from Argghhh! The Home Of Two Of Jonah's Military Guys.. on June 24, 2010 1:42 PM

Greyhawk sez:

I know there's no one more qualified than General Petraeus to unlock the many doors his predecessor tried to kick down, and I certainly wish him well. And I know "success" in Afghanistan is possibl...
Read More

Tadd Sholtis:The most offensive comments appearing in the Rolling Stone article -- by what I believe were a few people of relatively low rank and limited experience with reporters -- were inappropriate and deserved rebuke. They should not have been mad... Read More

Petraeus Testimony from Mudville Gazette on June 29, 2010 12:51 PM

Live: var so = new FlashObject ("http://pentagontv.pb.feedroom.com/usgov/pentagontv/embedoneclip/player.swf", "Player", "322", "277", "8", "#FFFFFF"); so.addVariable ("Environment", ""); so.addVariable ("SkinName", "pblibrary"); so.addVariable ("SiteI... Read More

Dirt Road 101 from Mudville Gazette on June 30, 2010 3:26 PM

Danger Room's Spencer Ackerman: "Is Obama's 2011 Afghanistan Deadline a Mistake?" Here's a one-word answer from me that might surprise: "no." But here's a question I'd answer differently: "Is publicly announcing a deadline a mistake?" My answer: "yes."... Read More

"A Marine with Weapons Platoon, Charlie Company, 1st Battalion, 3rd Marine Regiment, sprints down the line of heavy machine guns to deliver a map," read the supplied caption, "after a firefight with Taliban insurgents, Feb. 9, at the "Fire Points" int... Read More

6 Comments

Basically, as I noted to the Armorer, Petraeus was handed a steaming pile of **** and told to make it look like medium rare 25 oz t-bone steak in time for the June 2011 deadline.

The difference in Petraeus' success in Iraq and the Afghanistan adventure is exactly as indicated. In Iraq, Petraeus had Bush's full support and was given substantive leeway to act along with most of what he asked for. Further, he did have a State Department partner, in the end, who had a unified vision and acted in that way at the top level.

Petraeus doesn't have that in Afghanistan. End of story.

The troops can perform daily miracles, but, if command and vision are not unified, success will be nil.

Obama agreed to triple the troops in Afghanistan . Of course 9 months later all those troops haven't arrived but that is not the fault of the POTUS. Hopefully what Petrraeus will do is what he did in Iraq: declare that the SUrge Worked !! and say that our troops have achieved victory and will be able to meet the timetable. If we were able to say that Iraq was a "victory" after installing a government there that is now best friends with Iran and continually supports all the stated nuke positions, if we can still say Iraq was a victory when the next government of Iraq will be chosen by Mookie al Sadr from his current residence in Iran, than surely we can say Afghanistan was a victory after a "government of national reconciliation" with a major Taliban presence comes to power.

I am not buying the implicit accusation that the U.S. is failing in Afghanistan because Pres. Obama wouldn't sign a blank check.

Nor would I make that accusation. There's a difference between signing a blank check and announcing a withdrawal date.

I'll be the odd man out here.

Politics as usual dictates if some artificial deadline is missed, or a plan doesn't work as originally anticipated then someone, sufficiently high up on the totem pole to appear responsible, but lesser then the Potus, has to fall on their sword.

The John Kerry plan for Iraq and the Barack Obama plan for Afghanistan share a single thread. They were both based on 'best case' scenario's.

Just as Rumsfeld resigned prior to the start of the Iraq Surge, (obviously he didn't plan it, as we all know the pentagon can plan huge operations with 60 days notice :) ), General McCrystal had to resign prior to major operations in Kandahar.


Odd? Nothing you just wrote sounds odd to me at all... :)

And hey - don't be a stranger!

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November 26, 2010


America@war
[Greyhawk]
I think anyone who's ever pondered the "comment" option - once only available on blogs and bulletin boards, now ubiquitous on almost any web site - will appreciate this:
The so-called faculty of writing is not so much a faculty of writing as it is a faculty of thinking. When a man says, "I have an idea but I can't express it"; that man hasn't an idea but merely a vague feeling. If a man has a feeling of that kind, and will sit down for a half an hour and persistently try to put into writing what he feels, the probabilities are at least 90 percent that he will either be able to record it, or else realize that he has no idea at all. In either case, he will do himself a benefit.

That's wisdom from the past, captured for posterity at the US Naval Institute, shared via the web on the institute's 137th anniversary.

From their about page:

The Naval Institute shall remain

INDEPENDENT - A non-profit member association, with no government support, that does not lobby for special interests;

NON-PARTISAN - An independent, professional military association with a mission, goals and objectives that transcend political affiliations; and shall encourage

IDEAS - Through its respected journals Proceedings and Naval History, its conferences, its books and its online content, in support of those who serve.

"The Naval Institute has three core activities," among them, History and Preservation:

The Naval Institute also has recently introduced Americans at War, a living history of Americans at war in their own words and from their own experiences. These 90-second vignettes convey powerful stories of inspiration, pride, and patriotism.

Take a look at the collection, and you'll see it's not limited to accounts from those who served on ships at sea, members of the other branches are well-represented.

I'm fortunate to have met USNI's Mary Ripley, she's responsible for the institute's oral history program (and she's the daughter of the late John Ripley, whose story is told here). She also deserves much credit for their blog. ("We're not the Navy nor any government agency. Blog and comment freely.") We met at a milblog conference - Mary knew (and I would come to realize) that milbloggers are the 21st-century version of exactly what the US Naval Institute is all about. Once that light bulb came on in my head, I mentioned a vague idea for a project to her - milblogs as the 21st century oral history that they are.

"Put that in writing," she said (of course - see first paragraph above!) - and here's part of the result.

Shortly after the first tent was pitched by the American military in Iraq a wire was connected to a computer therein, and the internet was available to a generation of Americans at war - many of whom had grown up online. From that point on, at any given moment, somewhere in Iraq a Soldier, Sailor, Airman or Marine was at a keyboard sharing the events of his or her day with the folks back home. While most would simply fire off an email, others took advantage of the (then) relatively new online blogging platforms to post their thoughts and experiences for the entire world to see. The milblog was born - and from that moment to this stories detailing everything from the most mundane aspects of camp life to intense combat action (often described within hours of the event) have been available on the web...

And et cetera - but since you're reading this on a milblog, you probably knew that. And you know that milblogs aren't just blogs written by troops at war, that many friends, family members, and supporters likewise documented their story of America at war online in near-real time, as those stories developed.

The diversity in membership of that group is broad, the one thing we all have in common is the impulse to make sense of the seemingly senseless, and communicate the tale - for each of us that impulse was strong enough to overcome whatever barriers prevent the vast majority of people from doing the same. Everyone at some point has some vague idea they believe should be shared - we were the people who, from some combination of internal and external urging, found and spent those many half hours persistently trying to write it down.

*****

But where will all that be in another 137 years? Or five or ten, for that matter. That's something I've asked myself since at least 2004 - when I wrote this:

Closing Blogs is nothing new. So many site's owners just give up on their own. They come and go, you know, these MilBloggers do. Like any other sort of blogger. Many post in the lonely down hours far from home, spill their guts for the world, then abandon their spots when the tour of duty is up. They have lives again somewhere in the world, and no need to share the details. So it goes.

Many are truly gone - no site left at all. "The page cannot be found." Other blogs remain, like abandoned defensive positions in shifting desert sands.

Membership in the ghost battalion has grown in the years since, and an ever growing majority of those abandoned-but-still-standing sites are vanishing. Have you checked out Lt Smash's site lately? How about Sgt Hook's? If you're a long-time milblog reader you know the first widely-read milblog from Operation Iraq Freedom and the first widely-read milblog from Afghanistan are both gone from the web. If you're a relative newcomer to this world you may never even have heard of them - or the dozens upon dozens of others who carried forth the standard they set down.

If you have a vague notion that something should be done about that, (a notion I've heard expressed more than once...) then you and I and the good folks at the US Naval Institute are in agreement. Preserving the history documented by the milbloggers is just one of the goals of the milblog project, the once-vague idea that we're now making real.

And it's a big idea, if I say so myself - too big to explain in one simple blog post, so stand by for more. Likewise, it's too big a task to be accomplished by just one person. So if you're a milblogger (and exactly what is a milblogger? is a topic for much further discussion on its own) I'm asking for your help. All I'll really need is just a little bit (maybe just one or two of those half hours...) of your time, and your willingness to tell the tale.

We've already made history, it's time to save it.

(More to follow...)




Posted 4:02 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) |

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The Mudville Gazette is the on-line voice of an American warrior and his wife who stands by him. They prefer to see peaceful change render force of arms unnecessary. Until that day they stand fast with those who struggle for freedom, strike for reason, and pray for a better tomorrow.
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  • Greyhawk: Odd? Nothing you just wrote sounds odd to me at read more
  • Soldiersdad: I'll be the odd man out here. Politics as usual read more
  • Greyhawk: Nor would I make that accusation. There's a difference between read more
  • JJackson: I am not buying the implicit accusation that the U.S. read more
  • John ryan: Obama agreed to triple the troops in Afghanistan . Of read more
  • katherine optimus maximae: Basically, as I noted to the Armorer, Petraeus was handed read more

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The Mudville Gazette is written and produced by Greyhawk, who recently retired from 24 years of active duty in the US military, but will maintain this disclaimer: Unless otherwise credited, the opinions expressed are those of the author, and nothing here is to be taken as representing the official position of or endorsement by the United States Department of Defense or any of its subordinate components.

Furthermore, I will occasionally use satire or parody herein. The bottom line: it's my house.

I like having visitors to my house. I hope you are entertained. I fight for your right to free speech, and am thrilled when you exercise said rights here. Comments and e-mails are welcome, but all such communication is to be assumed to be 1)the original work of any who initiate said communication and 2)the property of the Mudville Gazette, with free use granted thereto for publication in electronic or written form. If you do NOT wish to have your message posted, write "CONFIDENTIAL" in the subject line of your email.

Original content copyright © 2003 - 2011 by Greyhawk. Fair, not-for-profit use of said material by others is encouraged, as long as acknowledgement and credit is given, to include the url of the original source post. Other arrangements can be made as needed.

Contact: greyhawk at mudvillegazette dot com

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*****

Tending Distant
Fires


Far from hearth and home, watching
Cold alone but not alone
On distant shore and only wanting
Safe return and little more

What tales we'll tell
When that time comes
When tales can be told

When things grim
Seem far away
When other fires go cold

Some distant sunset, vision fading
Memories remain
And tired eyes gaze 'pon folded flags
While distant drums beat their refrain

Saluting fallen friends whose names
And youth will never fade
Here's to those on other shores,
for them live well, the price is paid

- Greyhawk,
Baghdad,
December 2004