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Greetings! You are reading an article from The Mudville Gazette. To reach the front page, with all the latest news and views, click the logo above or "main" below. Thanks for stopping by! October 5, 2006 Anbar RisingBy Greyhawk(Note: This is part two of a series examining recent and little-known developments within al Qaeda, focusing on "public relations" efforts within the group. The previous entry, examining al-Qaeda's acknowledgement of grave problems as revealed in a letter from the group's leadership to Abu Musab al Zarqawi can be read here. This entry details al-Qaeda's efforts to win back the hearts and minds of the Iraqi people and the response they received. Although the group is not yet defeated, al-Qaeda's problems in Iraq are even more significant than western media and other analysts have revealed. A Threat of Amnesty A first publicly-released message from Abu Hamza al-Muhajir — also known as Abu Ayyub al-Masri - the late Abu Musab al Zarqawi's replacement as leader of al Qaeda in Iraq, made brief headlines in the western media late last month. The AP coverage focused on what seemed his stunning admission of casualty numbers among the "Mujahadeen" in Iraq: BAGHDAD, Iraq - The new leader of al-Qaida in Iraq purportedly said Thursday in an audio message posted online that more than 4,000 foreign militants have been killed in Iraq since the U.S.-led invasion in 2003 — the first apparent acknowledgment from the insurgents about their losses.That last bit is true - but incomplete, as we'll soon see. Several paragraphs later the AP adds that In the audio message, al-Masri also offered amnesty to Iraqis who cooperated with their country’s “occupiers,” calling on them to “return to your religion and nation” during the Muslim holy month of Ramadan, which Sunnis began observing in Iraq on Saturday and Shiites on Monday.The two points - the number of deaths suffered by al Qaeda fighters in Iraq and the "amnesty" pledge - reported as distinct issues in western media, are not unrelated, and actually both part of the same desperate appeal to Sunni leaders in al-Anbar Province, a "haven" increasingly less safe for al-Muhajir/Masri and other followers of the Zarqawi/al Qaeda jihad. The purpose of Muhajir's evocation of the number of "martyrs" is to remind his "target audience" of the dedication and commitment of his fellows to their cause. That reminder serves two purposes - the first an attempt to add a burden of guilt on those who've turned against him: "Do not let us down." Muhajir pleads, "We are at a fork in the road. We need you. We can't promise safety and security, but we can promise jihad for the sake of Allah." But his second purpose is to establish the deadliness of his purpose, evoked moments later by what some may call an "amnesty" offer, but is truly a threat with a deadline. Muhajir brands his growing (and increasingly bold) Sunni opposition "traitors", demands they make a very public "repentance", and gives them until the end of Ramadan to do so. While the full translation of Muhajir's speech is not currently publicly available, one brief excerpt can be seen here: "I say to those traitors in this blessed month, the month of pardon and forgiveness," al-Muhajir wrote, "that we are declaring a general pardon for all of them, forgiving them for our blood that was spilled by your hands and your treachery. We welcome you once again. Return to your religion and homeland before we defeat you, and you will have peace and security. We will not touch you but with kindness. You must first declare your sincere repentance in front of your tribes and families and inform us by whatever means, lest we make a mistake [and kill you]. You should put your hands in the hands of your brothers and sons, the mujahideen, for peace and security to return to our homes and expel the invader and to expel the occupier from our midst in this blessed month"But a point of no return may have been passed. As noted here previously, the al Qaeda letter to Zarqawi reveals the group's senior leadership strategy of "keeping quiet, overlooking things, forgiving, and reserving things to a time of an end to weakness and the attainment of complete authority...". Zarqawi never had the opportunity to act on that advice - but Muhajir appears to be doing so. "...it is highly advisable to be polite and to show complete respect, regret, compassion, and mercy and so forth. You must incline yourself to this, and be humble to the believers, and smile in people’s faces, even if you are cursing them in your heart..." Zarqawi was told, and rather than kill them, he was further instructed to confront his Iraqi opposition "by many other means of discourse and fervor of speech, and such, and with a bit of wisdom, patience, and deliberateness" until such time as he can "behave differently in accordance with what is appropriate for that time." - the aforementioned attainment of complete authority. But Muhajir's intended victims are aware of that approach, and have seen al Qaeda's plan for Iraq in action. Accordingly, his comments have already drawn their response. Iraq's al-Iraqiyah Television interviewed Shaykh Abd al-Sattar Abu-Rishah, chieftain of the Al-Bu-Rishah tribe in al-Anbar the day following the release of Muhajir's message: Asked about his response to Al-Muhajir's statement about giving a pardon to the chieftains of Iraq, he says: "I do not know what kind of authority he enjoys. Is he a prophet? Did he receive a messenger from God to give us a pardon? Are we criminals like him? Are we killers like him to be given a pardon? Or did we ask him for pardon? On the contrary, he should ask us for pardon, because he killed Iraqis, Sunnis and Shi'is. Who is he? He is only an inferior criminal. We should not grant him a pardon."And a guest on a popular Iraqi al Diyar television talk show was even less gracious: "Abu Hamza al-Muhajir, who stole chickens in 1980, is now issuing pardons for chieftains? Who is he to pardon the Chieftains of Iraq?" Turning the Tide That's a glimpse of Iraq rarely seen in western media. The rift between al-Anbar's chieftains (who once welcomed al-Qaeda fighters into their towns) and those now-despised foreigners has been growing for some time - and the strength and resolve of the chieftains has increased too, to the point where statements humiliating the once-feared terrorist leadership are now made in person, before the entire nation, in prime-time. They may pay for that show of courage with their lives, but it may be too late to turn the tide back in favor of their would-be assassins. The U.S. military cited incidents of insurgent infighting in a rare public description of a split:February: Sheikh Osama al-Jadaan, head of the influential Karabila tribe in Sunni Arab-dominated western Iraq, is more politician than traditional sheikh these days. He's given up his dishdasha and Arab headdress for a pinstripe suit with a silk handkerchief in his breast pocket.March: Tribal chiefs in Iraq's western Anbar province and in an area near the northern city of Kirkuk, two regions teeming with insurgents, are vowing to strike back at al-Qaeda in Iraq, a Sunni Arab-led group that is waging war against Sunni tribal leaders who are cooperating with the Iraqi government and the U.S. military. While all this was ongoing, coalition forces were capturing al-Qaeda members (often on tips from Iraqi citizens) and gaining intel that ultimately led to the June attack that killed Zarqawi. Lines in the Sand While obviously this was not the end of al Qaeda in Iraq, it was a significant blow to their cause. Still, many "analysts" declared Zarqawi a hindrance to al Qaeda's goals and predicted the group would restore its image with the local population. Reality did not meet those expectations. By mid-September: Anbar residents say the towns of Khalidiya and Haditha are effectively controlled by al Qaeda, who run Islamic courts, force women to wear an Afghan-style burqa and regularly dump bodies of those they call "traitors" and "spies" on the streets.But... Sheikh Sattar al-Buzayi summoned other tribal chiefs last week for a war council at his fortified home in Ramadi, the teeming, scarred capital of Iraq's Anbar province, desert heartland of the Sunni Arabs.Buzayi's meeting, dubbed the "Anbar Awakening Conference", was attended by 15 of the 18 tribes of the region. The group formed the "al Anbar Salvation Council", and sought help from the Shiite-dominated government of Iraq, as reported by the AP on September 19th: BAGHDAD, Iraq A prominent Sunni tribal leader on Tuesday asked the Iraqi government to legitimize a newly formed tribal council in one of Iraq's most volatile provinces to enable it to fight "terrorists where ever we find them."One week later, (and one day after US and Iraqi forces killed "Al-Qaeda's Amir in Anbar") Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri Al Maliki met with those leaders: Baghdad: Sunni tribal leaders who have vowed to drive Al Qaida out of Iraq's most restive province met the Shiite premier on Wednesday, marking what Washington hopes will be a breakthrough alliance against militants.Those developments - as with most in Iraq - attracted scant notice in western media. But Iraqi and Arab media sources had much more. Dubai's al Arabiyah quoted Buzayi after the meeting: "The Prime Minister is concerned with the Iraqi people. He is a good man, and wants everything good for our governate." Other reports would say the Anbar group had pledged to defend the highways, and that the youth of the tribes would be encouraged to join the Iraqi army and police. In return, rebuilding funds were pledged to al Anbar to be used when the security situation had improved. That meeting occurred on 27 September - and prompted the response from Abu Hamza al-Muhajir, which was issued the following day, and covered extensively in the western media without the connection being made. In another (largely ignored, and absurdly transparent) public relations ploy the same day, al Qaeda in Iraq announced they were changing the name of their campaign from the "Campaign to Avenge the blood of Zarqawi" to "The Military Evident Victory Battle". Choosing Sides Al Jazeera that day provided a quote in support of the Anbar tribes directly refuting Muhajir from Ahmed Naji Jibarah al Juburi, chief of the Salah-al-Din Provence tribal council: "Iraq is our Iraq. It does not belong to the leader of al Qaeda. He wants to eliminate us and make Iraq a wasteland." And also the same day: ...a Shiite religious leader in Karbala province called upon the Sunnis who left Karbala to please return to their homes. These Sunnis left after the attack on Askariah Shrine in samara last February. Please return to your homes to help of our national unity and national reconciliation programs started by Iraqi PM Alamliki to succeed. Early Rounds On the final day of September the Yemen Times reported: Iraqi police and tribal leaders in Al-Ramadi said Iraqi sources promised to wage war on Al-Qaeda organization there and managed to arrest five Al-Qaeda affiliates last Friday, including three Yemenis.And on October 3rd, the British paper The Guardian reported that "Al-Qaida in Iraq is being pushed out of its strongholds in Anbar province after three days of fighting with Iraq's fiercely independent tribes." (For the record - it won't be that easy.) By the 5th, even the LA Times offered some lukewarm coverage of the developments. Whack-a-mole-no-more? The same al-Arabiyah news item quoting Buzayi above also mentioned that many of the al Qaeda fighters from al Anbar had fled to Diyala Province. Security responsibilities for that region were handed over from the Americans to the 3rd Brigade, 5th Iraqi Army Division, on October 1st. The day prior, Iraqi military forces have defeated what they called an attempt to create a breakaway Sunni religious territory in Iraq's eastern Diyala province, an army spokesman said yesterday.The ongoing Iraqi Army operation, dubbed " Swift Response", has now netted over 250 suspected "insurgent" fighters. Tough talk is being replaced by action. Can it be sustained? Can the "Salvation Council" endure if key figures in the movement are eliminated, or shift loyalties? The answers are coming - albeit slowly, and they won't likely appear in western news any time soon. Combat on the part of the Anbar tribes against al Qaeda will simply appear as more carnage in the always blood-soaked month of Ramadan, and the deaths of Sunnis killed by al Qaeda can always be blamed on Shiite militias - or "sectarian violence". The conflict in Iraq goes on - and will for some time. And the al Anbar tribes' opposition to al Qaeda is not comensurate with support for the U.S. - they will be quite happy to see us leave also. But if their battle with the other foreign invader is successful, that day will come too. Related: a look at al Qaeda's "accomplishments" in Iraq duiring 2005. Next: we turn our attention to al Qaeda's public relations outreach to the American people...) Update: From CENTCOM: TERRORIST LINKED TO AL-QAIDA IN IRAQ LEADER DETAINEDClosing in... Update: The story continues here. Posted by Greyhawk / October 5, 2006 11:30 AM | Permalink 5 TrackBacksA short recon of what’s out there that might draw your attention. Read More Hastert cracking? That's the story that the utopian media would like to dominate your consciousness these days...Hastert, Foley, Hastert, Foley, Hastert (Amish, anyone?) ...and yet... As Drudge is reporting late Wednesday, the "IM" scandal headlin... Read More I Disagree with congressional republicans on many issues and the 109th congress has been in my opinion, one of the most disappointing legislative bodies in American history. Especially when you consider the possibilities on what they could have accomp... Read More I Disagree with congressional republicans on many issues and the 109th congress has been in my opinion, one of the most disappointing legislative bodies in American history. Especially when you consider the possibilities on what they could have accomp... Read More Having reached six years today, which in milblog terms is ancient indeed. (But I don't feel a day over three, I swear.) My personal favorite post of all time? Probably this one I wrote in Baghdad in October, 2007, reproduced here in its entirety:We've ... Read More 9 Comments |
February 3, 2010Dawn Patrol 02/03/2010 [Mrs Greyhawk]
Welcome to the Dawn Patrol, our daily roundup of information on the War on Terror and other topics - from the MilBlogs and various sources around the world. If you're a blogger, you can join the conversation. If you link to any of these stories, add a link to the Dawn Patrol too and your trackback will be added to the list. Hat Tips to the Dawn Patrol are greatly appreciated.Refresh for updates.
AFGHANISTAN/PAKISTANPentagon Behind Obama Schedule for Deploying Troops to Afghanistan -- [FOX] Mullen: Afghanistan success window small -- [Washington Times] US Marines facing a 'different war' in Afghanistan -- [AFP] Predators pound terrorist camp in North Waziristan -- [Long War Journal - Bill Roggio] Eyes in the Sky -- [Army Live] Revenge on the Taliban, from 10,000 feet -- [Washington Post] Pakistan blast kills US soldiers (Video) -- [BBC] 3 G.I.s Killed in Pakistan. Now Can We Start Treating This Like a Real War? -- [Danger Room - Noah Shachtman] Never take it for granted -- [One Marine's View - in Afghanistan] It's the Economy, Undergraduate -- [At War] Around ANA Land -- -- [Afghanistan My Last Tour - in Afghanistan] Dari Keyboard -- [Afghanistan My Last Tour - in Afghanistan] Taking Tea with the Taliban -- [Commentary Mag - Michael Rubin] New Afghan police officers graduate -- [Helmand Blog] U.S. military officers could face punishment over ambush in Afghanistan -- [Washington Post] Afghans protest to Iran over border killings -- [Reuters] IRAQBomb kills 20 in Iraqi Shi'ite city of Kerbala -- [Reuters] Obama, Biden meet with Iraqi VP -- [AFP] Iraq court lifts ban on hundreds of candidates -- [Atlanta Journal Constitution] Blair Called a Liar in Iraq Inquiry -- [NY Times] U.S. AND OTHER PARTS OF THE WORLDMultiple Air Force crews, Landstuhl staff team up to save Peace Corps member injured in Kazakhstan -- [Soldiers' Angels Germany ] Iran hints at prisoner swap for 3 U.S. hikers -- [Washington Times] US Denies Speaking to Iran About Prisoner Swap -- [Voice of America] Ahmadinejad backs deal to remove bulk of enriched uranium from Iran -- [Washington Post] US wary as Iran president agrees nuclear deal terms -- [BBC] Emergency Assistance Still Hasn't Reached Many Haitians -- [Washington Post] China's threat to sanction US firms in arms sale could backfire -- [Los Angeles Times] Corrected: Obama to meet Dalai Lama despite Chinese warnings -- [Reuters] WAR ON TERROR /TERRORISMPanetta: Terror Attack in US Likely Soon -- [Military.com/AP] Would-be LAX terrorist's prison sentence overturned as too lenient -- [Los Angeles Times] Bill Would Forbid Civilian 9/11 Trials -- [Military.com/Atlanta Journal-Constitution] DOJ's New Tool Against Criticism: New Media -- [FOX] Brennan: All Transferred Detainees Who Returned to Terrorism Were Released by Bush, No Recidivism for Those Released by Obama -- [ABC News] Is there an adult in there somewhere? Bueller? Bueller? -- [The Armorer] MI5 hunting breast implants of death -- [WND] SUPPORTING THE TROOPS...OR NOTImpact of deployment on kids -- negative reporting and troop bashing hurts them too -- [You Served] Interview with Lorrie Nichols of The Journal of An Army Wife -- [Army Wives Lives] The Predictably Unpredictable Army Strikes Again.... -- [SpouseBuzz - Andi] They Ache -- [SpouseBuzz - Sarah] Military OneSource Tax Filing Services -- [Military OneSource] Wounded Warrior returns to West Point as WTU Commander -- [Soldiers' Angels Germany] MILITARYLaw barring lies about military medals faces test -- [Washington Post] Why Stolen Valor doesn't violate 1st Amendment -- [This Ain't Hell...] Air Force Academy creates worship area for pagans, Druids -- [USA Today] The Wiccan Cross -- [Greyhawk]
WELCOME HOMEArrival at Home- Final Post -- [Doc H - home from Afghanistan] I have been home for a few days now. Tricia and the kids met me at the airport around midnight. It was a joyous reunion that was just a little overdue. Amazingly the kids went to school and continued their activities the next day. There was a nice banner on display in the house welcoming me back home. Our trip to home was even more circuitous as time went by. Due to a heavy snowstorm in Baltimore, our transatlantic flight diverted to JFK airport in New York. We had a night in a hotel nearby and completed our journey to Baltimore the next day Shorn -- [OPFOR - Lt Col P - heading home from Afghanistan]
THE MEDIA/SOCIAL MEDIAIf Not Now, When?: Duty and Sacrifice in America's Time of Need Wins 2010 Colby Award -- [PR Newswire] CSI: Miami - Promoting the Good in Iraq -- [A Soldier's Perspective] Jeremy Renner nominated for best actor in 'The Hurt Locker' 'The Hurt Locker' may rewrite script on Iraq war movies -- [NY Daily News] Charlie Brooker - How To Report The News
POLITICSSeeking balance: the 2010 Quadrennial Defense Review -- [Foreign Policy Review] Don't ask Don't Tell -- [Greyhawk] The Case Against Gays in the Military -- [Wall Street Journal] Credit Where Credit is Due -- [BlackFive - Grim] Marine Ilario Pantano for Congress! -- [BlackFive] HUMOR / SATIRE'Gays Too Precious To Risk In Combat,' Says General -- [The Onion]
Iraq, Afghanistan, War, Terrorism, Military, Politics, Media, MilBlogs, dawn patrol Mudville
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The Mudville Gazette is the on-line voice of an American warrior and his wife who stands by him. They prefer to see peaceful change render force of arms unnecessary. Until that day they stand fast with those who struggle for freedom, strike for reason, and pray for a better tomorrow.
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This is such excellent news, even if it simply shows the basic truth that the slog, tough as it is, is making progress. A fact regularly hidden from the WORLD public.
Keep up the great work!
"Sectarian violence" in Iraq. "Increasing violence" in Afghanistan. Funny how the 'casualties' of this violence are predominantly those of our enemies, but that part gets understated, if stated at all.
and how many of the so-called civilian deaths were actually insurgents?
Dear Sir,
Could you tell me what happens to the prisoners/al quida that we capture? Do the Iraq's hold them?
Dear Sir,
Could you tell me what happens to the prisoners/al qaida that we capture? Do the Iraq's hold them?
Thanks for the comprehensive update :-) I just wish that the average Iraqi had more of a cheering section in the American press... wouldn't it be nice if it at least SEEMED like the MSM wanted them to have a better life? Sigh.
Sending encouraging wishes and prayers their way!
GreyHawk,
Good news. No wonder you function as the Mudville Gazette! Your news is more in depth, more factual and certainly includes more insight than anything printed on war by the NY Times, LA Times, or Washington Post.
Maybe the Pulitzer belongs to your and your blogging comrades henceforth.
Good info, son. Press on.
Subsunk
Thanks Grey. Hell of a way to wet your feet in reentry to the blogosphere as well. Damn good reporting, and investigating.
Why is the "tribal system un-Islamic"?
Clans of families and their descendants, maybe all with the same occupation, occur in England and Ireland and there are "fiefs" with them all on the same plot of land.
A clan could be a man with a harem of diverse women, all of whom have the same father, but different mothers and any descendants they have. In the medieval structure that they have in the middle east the daughters are bought and sold to other peoples' harems without consent.
A clan war is called a feud. When people leave clans to form a tribe there is some racial and cultural diversity. However, under a Sultanate, one sultan inseminating thousands of women creates inbreeding and racism.
A caliphate imposes on the numbers of individuals so, even though there are no schools, mothers can teach their daughters what to eat and the Arabic language. Woman are not permitted to go to Islamic or Koranic academies.
The Ukraine concept of the "children wandering around that might get raped and pregnant or nto trouble" comes from huge collectives of "children" who grow up and are shoved out into the fields without anyone to show them what to do. After Stalin's purge, there isn't anyone to tell them what to do, and as for instruction they are told to "grab a few stalks of the top of the wheat and chew it slowly if you feel hungry."
They are also taught to "hunt for meat with bows and arrows" including the other humans in an area.
The one ancestor has so many children that there is no one to instruct them that the women may end up eating rats, which is not "nutritious."
The "ethnic Russians" in the Soviet Union consist of "tribes" that are racist collectives where there is inbreeding. Since there are no roads in the Soviet Union and Moscow is the only place there is gas for cars, the racism of the collectives is perpetuated by geographic isolation.
Islam is supposed to be an improvement on this situation, but I don't think "communism," which was for the Russians would be appropriate for people in the Middle East. When there is education, and an informed public, there can be democracy.
How can women be informed if they are not allowed to go to school? They have a "tribal code" where killing women is against the law. Women are slaves and chattels. This reminds me of the medieval concept of "innocent women" but Jesus never said "all women are innocent." There can be women who are guilty of crimes and quite a lot of them....
Each should be considered on its own merits, but when everybody is the same race, the Russians tend to asume that they were all instructed in the same collective and are all guilty of the same crime. Thus arose the "genocide business" which is against interntional law, which we assume is universal.
If there are decendants of Russians who came on the wagon trains to get away from the Czars, the U.S, Army, were taught the "kraft of genocide" by their parents, they should be defeated.